In periods of change, psychiatric services must project outcomes of
decisions about service innovations and reductions, including budgetary
implications. To support such decision making, a public-sector psychiatric
service in Melbourne, Victoria, Australia, developed a modeling tool that
combines data from its service activity database and budgetary information
with modeling techniques based on use of a spreadsheet. The model is based
on clients' use of three major service components: the inpatient unit,
continuing clinical care and consultancy services, and crisis assessment
and treatment services. It classifies clients according to patterns of
care-that is, whether they used one, two, or three of the components, in
various combinations. The authors report service use and financial data
derived from the model for the financial year 1992-1993. They describe two
scenarios for using the model to project changes in patterns of care and
costs when new services are implemented. Such a model can clarify costs,
including opportunity costs, of management decisions and facilitate
participation of senior clinicians in active service planning within the
realities of budgetary constraints.
Abstract Teaser