OBJECTIVE: To increase understanding of decisions about inpatient
admission, a four-step algorithm was used to examine 2,073 consecutive
visits to a public hospital psychiatric emergency room, 684 of which
resulted in admission. METHODS: Admission decision outcomes and patient
data were cross-tabulated to identify conditions, or rules, under which
outcome was almost certain. Discriminant function models were then made of
individual clinicians' decision-making process and of individual diagnostic
groups. To understand cases not covered in previous steps, a third
discriminant function model was constructed. RESULTS: The four- step method
successfully predicted outcomes in 85 percent of cases at a minimum of an
80 percent confidence level. The variables of psychosis and violence
combined into the most powerful predictor of admission. Twelve rules that
applied to 41.4 percent of all cases were found. Eleven models of
individual clinicians' decision policies applied to slightly more half of
all cases and successfully classified about 95 percent of them. Eleven
models of diagnostic groups applied to 93.2 percent of all cases and
correctly predicted about 75 percent. The final discriminant model for the
171 cases not covered by the by the first three steps correctly classified
about 90 percent of residual cass. CONCLUSIONS: Psychiatric admission
decisions are influenced by multiple variables that should be studied by
examining general admission criteria and differences between
clinicians.
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